中石油上半年赚840亿元 预计国际油价在70美元左右波动

Core Viewpoint - China National Petroleum Corporation (CNPC) reported a solid performance in the first half of 2025, with significant increases in oil and gas production, alongside a strategic focus on green energy transition and market adaptability [1][2][3]. Production and Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, CNPC's oil and gas equivalent production reached 924 million barrels, a year-on-year increase of 2%, with crude oil production at 476 million barrels, up 0.3% [1]. - The company achieved a natural gas production of 26.8 trillion cubic feet, marking a 3.8% increase, setting historical highs for both natural gas and oil equivalent production [1]. - CNPC's revenue for the first half of 2025 was RMB 1.5 trillion, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of RMB 84.01 billion, and a mid-year dividend of RMB 0.22 per share was declared [2]. Strategic Initiatives and Market Adaptation - CNPC optimized crude oil resource allocation and adjusted product structures dynamically to increase the production of high-margin refined and chemical products [3]. - The company is advancing its green low-carbon transition, with natural gas production's share of total output increasing, and is actively developing renewable energy projects [3]. - The management outlined a three-step plan for renewable energy, targeting 7% of total energy capacity from renewables by 2025, with a long-term goal of equal shares for oil, gas, and renewables by 2050 [3]. Market Outlook and Demand Trends - Despite a general decline in refined oil demand in the first half of the year, CNPC's domestic refined oil sales grew by 0.3%, increasing its market share by 1.5 percentage points [3]. - The company anticipates that domestic economic recovery will support energy consumption, particularly in residential travel and industrial oil use, although gasoline and diesel consumption may face downward pressure [3]. - Aviation fuel consumption is expected to continue growing at a rapid pace [3]. Oil Price and Risk Management - CNPC's management emphasized the importance of integrated supply chain management and cost control in responding to market changes [4]. - The company is closely monitoring international oil prices, which are influenced by OPEC+ production levels, geopolitical factors, and monetary policy [4][6]. - The management expects international oil prices to fluctuate around $70 per barrel in the third quarter, citing the company's robust risk management capabilities due to its comprehensive industry chain [6].