Core Insights - Shares of Berkshire Hathaway Inc. (BRK.B) have declined by 2.1% over the past three months, underperforming the industry decline of 2.6%, while the sector has increased by 6.9% and the S&P 500 has gained 10.1% [1][9] - BRK.B is currently trading below its 50-day simple moving average, indicating potential downside risk [2] - The stock is considered overvalued with a price-to-book multiple of 1.60, higher than the industry average of 1.54 [8][9] - The average target price for BRK.B is $537.75, suggesting an 8.5% upside from the latest closing price [12][9] Company Overview - Berkshire Hathaway operates as a diversified conglomerate with over 90 subsidiaries across various industries, providing stability through different economic cycles [1][14] - The insurance operations contribute approximately 25% of overall revenues, serving as a key growth engine for the company [14] - The company has a significant allocation of capital to short-term U.S. Treasury bills and government-backed instruments, exceeding $100 billion, which has been beneficial due to elevated interest rates [17][18] Financial Performance - The return on equity (ROE) for BRK.B in the trailing 12 months was 7%, slightly below the industry average of 7.7%, although it has shown consistent improvement [21] - The return on invested capital (ROIC) was 5.6%, lower than the industry average of 5.9%, but has increased every year since 2020 [22] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for 2025 earnings indicates a 5.3% year-over-year decrease, while the estimate for 2026 suggests a 1.9% increase, with long-term earnings growth expected at 7% [23] Competitive Positioning - Compared to peers, BRK.B is relatively cheaper than Progressive and Chubb, despite its higher valuation metrics [11] - Chubb is focusing on growth in the middle-market segment and enhancing its specialty insurance portfolio, while Progressive is strengthening its market position through bundled insurance offerings and disciplined underwriting [6][7] Future Outlook - The transition of leadership to Greg Abel as CEO in January 2026 is a focal point for future performance, with Warren Buffett remaining as executive chairman [27] - Given the elevated valuation, soft return on capital, and projected near-term earnings pressure, a cautious approach is recommended for BRK.B [27]
BRK.B Slips 2% in 3 Months, Trades at a Premium: How to Play the Stock