蔬菜价格上涨动力减弱

Core Insights - The wholesale price index for "vegetable basket" products increased by 3.64% from July 31 to August 26, reaching 116.59, primarily due to adverse weather conditions affecting vegetable production and distribution [1] - The average price of 28 monitored vegetable varieties rose by 6.9% in August, with a notable increase of 9.3% from early August to August 24, driven by heavy rainfall and strong convective weather [1][2] - Seasonal price fluctuations typically see vegetable prices peak in August or September before declining with the autumn harvest; however, this year’s price increases were exacerbated by weather conditions [2] Price Trends - The average price of vegetables in August (up to the 24th) was 4.67 yuan/kg, which is a 19.8% decrease compared to the same period last year, indicating a significant year-on-year drop despite recent price hikes [2] - Certain vegetable varieties experienced substantial price increases, with spinach, cauliflower, and cucumber rising over 30%, while oilseed rape, zucchini, and asparagus saw increases over 20% [1] Supply and Market Outlook - Experts predict that as rainfall decreases, vegetable supply will gradually recover, leading to a reduction in price increases; the area planted with vegetables increased by 1% year-on-year to 11 million acres in July [2] - Recent market observations indicate that vegetable prices in some regions, such as Beijing, have started to stabilize or decline due to the arrival of late-season crops from cooler areas [2][3]