元力股份(300174)：盈利能力持续恢复 白炭黑+新品开启放量

Core Viewpoint - The company's H1 2025 performance met expectations, with a revenue of 940 million yuan, a decrease of 4.5% year-on-year, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 120 million yuan, down 20% year-on-year [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - In Q2 2025, the company reported revenue of 510 million yuan, with a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 2% but a year-on-year increase of 17% [1] - The gross profit margin for Q2 2025 was 26.1%, an increase of 2.1 percentage points quarter-on-quarter and 2.7 percentage points year-on-year [1] - The net profit margin attributable to shareholders was 14.1%, up 0.5 percentage points quarter-on-quarter and 3.3 percentage points year-on-year [1] Group 2: Product Performance - In H1 2025, the activated carbon segment generated revenue of 740 million yuan, an increase of 8% year-on-year, with shipments of 77,000 to 75,000 tons, also up 5-10% year-on-year [1] - The silicon materials segment saw a revenue of 200 million yuan in H1 2025, a decrease of 34% year-on-year, with sodium silicate revenue at 130 million yuan, down 45% year-on-year [1][2] - The gross profit margin for activated carbon in H1 2025 was 28.4%, an increase of 3.4 percentage points year-on-year, while sodium silicate maintained a gross profit margin of 15.4% [2] Group 3: Cost and Investment - The company reported a stable expense ratio of 12% in Q2 2025, with operating cash flow of 90 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 2% [2] - Capital expenditure in Q2 2025 was 80 million yuan, a significant increase of 193% year-on-year [2] - Inventory at the end of H1 2025 was 260 million yuan, reflecting a 1% increase from the beginning of the year [2] Group 4: Profit Forecast and Investment Rating - The company maintains profit forecasts of 290 million yuan, 360 million yuan, and 460 million yuan for 2025-2027, representing year-on-year growth of 0.3%, 25.0%, and 27.9% respectively [2] - The corresponding price-to-earnings ratios are projected to be 22x, 17x, and 14x for the same period, with a "Buy" rating maintained [2]