美联储独立性危机引爆黄金行情

Core Viewpoint - The recent rise in gold prices is attributed to a weakening dollar and increased demand for safe-haven assets, driven by investor concerns over President Trump's attempts to challenge the independence of the Federal Reserve [1][2]. Group 1: Gold Price Movement - On August 28, gold prices reached a five-week high, closing at $3417.07 per ounce, marking a 0.60% increase [2]. - Gold prices have been on an upward trend for three consecutive trading days, with a peak at $3420 [2]. - The gold price has broken through the significant resistance level of $3400, indicating potential for further upward movement [1][2]. Group 2: Market Influences - The dollar index fell by 0.3%, making gold more attractive to overseas buyers [2]. - Concerns regarding the independence of the Federal Reserve have intensified, particularly due to pressure from President Trump, which may lead to expectations of quicker interest rate cuts [2][3]. - The market anticipates over an 87% probability of a 25 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve in the upcoming September meeting [2]. Group 3: Technical Analysis - Current support levels for gold are identified at $3399 and $3408, with resistance at $3423 [3]. - Analysts suggest that if gold effectively breaks above the trend line, it could target levels around $3430-50 [3]. - The market is advised to be cautious due to the potential for significant price movements coinciding with the end of the month and week [3].