美联储独立性受威胁与赤字恶化 美元承压结构性阻力

Core Viewpoint - The independence of the Federal Reserve is under threat, and the worsening U.S. budget deficit is creating structural pressures on the dollar [1] Group 1: Federal Reserve Independence - The independence of the Federal Reserve is crucial for maintaining the value of the currency [1] - Concerns have arisen in the market due to President Trump's intention to dismiss Fed Governor Cook [1] Group 2: U.S. Budget Deficit - The U.S. faces challenges regarding the sustainability of its debt [1] - Trump's tax and spending proposals may ultimately be more expensive than currently planned, as historical trends show that tax incentives are difficult to revoke [1] Group 3: Dollar Value and Market Resistance - Structural issues may weaken the long-term value of the dollar and increase structural resistance [1] - Short-term resistance for the dollar index is noted at 98.10-98.15, with significant resistance at 98.40-98.45 [1] - Short-term support for the dollar index is identified at 97.60-97.65, with significant support at 97.45-97.50 [1]