美国滞胀迫近金价涨势未休

Group 1 - Gold prices have shown a significant increase, reaching a five-week high, with a closing price of $3417.07 per ounce, supported by a weaker dollar and safe-haven demand [2] - Analysts predict that the U.S. may experience stagflation, which could provide substantial upward potential for gold prices [1][2] - The upcoming U.S. Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index is anticipated to show a month-over-month increase of 0.3% and a year-over-year acceleration from 2.8% to 2.9% [2] Group 2 - Fidelity's multi-asset portfolio manager Ian Samson expresses optimism about gold prices, citing a potential slowdown in the U.S. economy and the likelihood of stagflation [2] - Factors such as declining interest rates, persistent inflation, and weak economic growth are expected to support gold prices, while the uncertainty surrounding tariffs adds to gold's appeal as a safe-haven asset [2] - Concerns over the large U.S. budget deficit and potential currency devaluation further enhance the long-term outlook for gold [2] Group 3 - Technical analysis indicates that gold prices have established a clear upward trend since mid-August, with current trading above the 20-day moving average [3] - The MACD indicator shows increasing momentum, while the RSI remains below the overbought threshold, suggesting continued upward potential for gold [3] - Key resistance levels are identified at $3450, with a potential target of $3500, while support levels are noted at $3380 and $3350 [3]