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中金:中国太平(00966)分红险转型领先 升目标价25%至28.4港元
智通财经网·2025-08-29 03:49

Core Viewpoint - China Taiping's 1H25 performance shows a net profit increase of 12.2% year-on-year to HKD 6.76 billion, exceeding expectations, with a new business value (NBV) growth of 22.8% [1] Financial Performance - The group's embedded value increased by 8.8% year-to-date, and net assets rose by 4.4% to HKD 74.238 billion [1] - The insurance service revenue for Taiping Property & Casualty increased by 4.3%, with net profit rising by 87.6% to RMB 630 million [3] - The overall insurance service performance showed a year-on-year increase of 9.5% [3] New Business Value - The NBV for Taiping Life increased by 22.8%, with individual and bancassurance channels growing by 22.4% and 23.8% respectively [2] - The overall new business value rate improved by 3.1 percentage points to 21.6%, with individual and bancassurance new business value rates at 22.7% and 20.0% respectively [2] - The contribution of long-term new business from dividend insurance reached 91.3%, with individual insurance at 97.5% and bancassurance at 85.8% [2] Investment and Risk Management - The company’s net and total investment returns were 3.11% and 2.68%, respectively, reflecting a decline [3] - The negative impact of adverse scenarios on NBV has significantly reduced from 30.5% in 1H24 to 5.5% in 1H25 [2] Future Outlook - The company maintains its earnings forecast for 2025-2026 and has raised the target price by 25% to HKD 28.4, indicating a potential upside of over 55% [1] - The liability-side forward indicators show significant improvement, particularly in the dividend insurance transformation and enhanced underwriting capabilities in property and casualty insurance [4]