Ge Long Hui A P P·2025-08-29 03:54Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report indicates that Mengniu Dairy's revenue and net profit for the first half of the year were 41.57 billion and 2.05 billion yuan, representing year-on-year declines of 6.9% and 16.4% respectively [1] - The report anticipates a recovery in liquid milk demand, with the Mid-Autumn Festival and National Day serving as important observation windows [1] - The ice cream business has returned to positive growth, and there is potential for improved profitability in the milk powder and cheese segments in the future [1] Group 2 - Due to the expected prolonged recovery in dairy product demand, the revenue forecast for Mengniu has been revised downwards, with projected revenues of 84.27 billion, 86.43 billion, and 88.33 billion yuan for 2025 to 2027 [1] - Considering the anticipated losses from Modern Dairy in 2025, there will be a short-term negative impact on the company's share of joint venture earnings, with expected earnings per share of 1.08 yuan, 1.45 yuan, and 1.58 yuan for 2025 to 2027 [1] - The target price for Mengniu has been raised from 22.77 HKD to 23.74 HKD, maintaining a "buy" rating [1]