政治疑虑与降息预期双压美元

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the recent fluctuations in the US dollar index, which is influenced by expectations of a Federal Reserve interest rate cut and political concerns regarding tariffs proposed by President Trump [1] Group 1: Dollar Index Movement - As of August 29, the US dollar index is at 97.99, with a slight increase of 0.12% from an opening price of 97.87 [1] - The dollar index experienced a decline of 0.17% the previous day due to heightened expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut [1] Group 2: Currency Strength - The weakening of the dollar has led to a strengthening of major currencies, with the euro rising by 0.24%, the yen increasing by 0.33%, and the pound gaining 0.13% [1] Group 3: Market Focus - Market attention is shifting from previous discussions between Trump and the Federal Reserve to the upcoming release of the core PCE price index, which is a key inflation indicator for the Federal Reserve [1] - Despite the market's cautious stance ahead of this critical data release, overall trading volume in the forex market remains low [1] Group 4: Political Influence - Analysts suggest that the recent decline in the dollar is not only due to rate cut expectations but also concerns stemming from Trump's tariff comments, which have raised fears about political interference in the Federal Reserve's independence [1] Group 5: Technical Analysis - The dollar index has shown signs of support near previous lows and has started to rebound, although it still faces strong resistance above [1] - An upward trend has been observed in the hourly chart, but the overall movement is constrained by key resistance levels, necessitating close monitoring of these levels to determine the short-term direction of the dollar index [1]