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国金证券:给予皖通高速买入评级
Zheng Quan Zhi Xing·2025-08-29 04:33

Core Viewpoint - The report highlights that Anhui Expressway (皖通高速) has shown a year-on-year growth in its H1 2025 performance, driven by increased toll revenue and construction service income, and maintains a "buy" rating from Guojin Securities [1][5]. Financial Performance - In H1 2025, the company achieved operating revenue of 3.74 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 11.7% [2]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 960 million yuan, up 4.0% year-on-year [2]. - In Q2 2024, the company reported operating revenue of 920 million yuan, a significant decline of 51.7% year-on-year, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 410 million yuan, an increase of 2.4% [2]. Revenue Analysis - The growth in H1 2025 revenue was primarily due to toll revenue and construction service income [3]. - Toll revenue for H1 was 2.48 billion yuan, up 13.4% year-on-year, with the Xuan-Guang Expressway contributing 220 million yuan, a remarkable increase of 98.7% due to increased traffic following its reopening [3]. - The core route, the An-Ning Expressway, generated toll revenue of 740 million yuan, reflecting an 8.7% increase, attributed to higher traffic during the Spring Festival [3]. Cost and Profitability - The gross margin for H1 2025 was 37.2%, down 2.6 percentage points year-on-year, mainly due to depreciation from the completion of the Xuan-Guang Expressway [4]. - The company’s expense ratio was 4.79%, an increase of 1.5 percentage points year-on-year, with financial expenses rising to 2.53% due to interest costs from loans related to the expressway project [4]. - The net profit margin for H1 2025 was 25.7%, down 1.9 percentage points year-on-year [4]. Strategic Moves - The company completed the acquisition of 100% equity in Fuzhou Expressway and Sihu Expressway for 4.77 billion yuan, contributing 85.05 million yuan and 33.22 million yuan to net profit, respectively [4]. - The company participated in a private placement of Shen Expressway, investing 500 million yuan, and won the concession rights for the Bo-Dan Expressway, establishing a subsidiary with an investment of 35 million yuan [4]. - A differentiated toll policy was implemented in Anhui Province starting April, reducing discounts for certain vehicles, which is expected to positively impact profitability [4]. Profit Forecast - The company maintains its net profit forecasts for 2025, 2026, and 2027 at 1.89 billion yuan, 1.99 billion yuan, and 2.10 billion yuan, respectively [5].