Zhong Jin Zai Xian·2025-08-29 04:44Core Viewpoint - The demand for spandex is expected to grow due to increased penetration in downstream applications and trends in functional consumption, particularly in the textile and apparel sectors [1][4]. Industry Overview - In 2024, 76% of spandex will be used for clothing production, with an apparent consumption volume of 1.0269 million tons, reflecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 9.21% from 2020 to 2024, significantly higher than other mainstream synthetic fibers [1]. - The sales of clothing, footwear, and textiles in China are projected to grow year-on-year from 2023 to 2024, with a cumulative sales increase of 3.10% in the first half of 2025 [1]. - The emergence of trendy items like yoga and sun-protective clothing since 2020 has notably boosted overall spandex demand [1]. Supply and Demand Dynamics - The spandex industry is currently facing severe overcapacity, with new production capacity of 135,000 tons in 2024, representing a year-on-year growth rate of 10.88% [3]. - The average gross profit margin for spandex was reported at -5,217 yuan/ton as of August 13, 2025, indicating continuous losses for over two years [3]. - Inventory levels are at historical highs, impacting operational willingness among companies and leading to a decline in overall industry operating rates compared to the same period in 2024 [3]. Market Outlook - The ongoing capacity clearance in the spandex industry may improve the supply-demand balance, with leading companies likely to benefit first [4]. - Major spandex producers like Huafeng Chemical and Xinxiang Chemical Fiber have a significant cost advantage, with unit costs of 22,406 yuan/ton and 25,263 yuan/ton, respectively, compared to the industry average of 29,711 yuan/ton [6]. - Despite the current low industry sentiment, leading companies are expected to maintain positive gross margins of 13.66% and 0.30% in 2024 [6]. Company Performance - Huafeng Chemical reported Q2 2025 revenue of 5.823 billion yuan, a year-on-year decline of 17.84%, with a net profit of 479 million yuan, down 42.61% [8]. - Xinxiang Chemical Fiber achieved Q2 2025 revenue of 1.828 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 16.74%, with a net profit of 89.2582 million yuan, up 1581.12% [11]. - Taihe New Materials reported a net profit of 92.2925 million yuan in Q2 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 16.15% [9].