


Core Viewpoint - The report highlights that despite a high base effect, the company is expected to achieve single-digit growth in performance for the second half of 2025, with a "buy" rating maintained for the stock [1][3]. Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, the company reported operating revenue of 10.52 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 9.6%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 5.19 billion yuan, also up 9.2% year-on-year [1]. - The second quarter saw operating revenue of 5.81 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 9.6% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 23.2% [1]. - The company's earnings per share (EPS) stood at 0.56 yuan, with a return on equity (ROE) of 4.2%, up 0.1 percentage points year-on-year [1]. Business Segments - The brokerage business experienced significant growth, with revenue reaching 3.73 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 44.9%, accounting for 36% of total operating revenue [1]. - The investment banking segment saw a substantial increase in revenue, totaling 400 million yuan, up 41.4% year-on-year, with a main underwriting scale of 24.74 billion yuan, a 107% increase [2]. - Asset management revenue also rose to 440 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 29.3%, although the total asset management scale decreased by 16.1% to 253.5 billion yuan [2]. Market Activity - The average daily trading volume in the market increased by 63.3% year-on-year to 1.5703 trillion yuan [1]. - The company's margin financing and securities lending balance remained stable at 95.3 billion yuan, maintaining a market share of 5.2% [1]. Future Outlook - The company has adjusted its profit forecast upwards, expecting net profits of 12.5 billion yuan, 13.1 billion yuan, and 14 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 21%, 4%, and 7% [3]. - The report emphasizes that ongoing capital market reforms and a gradual economic recovery will benefit larger brokerages, enhancing their risk management capabilities and allowing them to better capitalize on policy dividends [3].