东吴证券：给予永安期货买入评级

Core Viewpoint - Yong'an Futures reported a significant decline in revenue and net profit for the first half of 2025, but showed improvement in Q2 net profit and positive trends in fund sales and asset management business, leading to a "buy" rating from Dongwu Securities [1][2]. Financial Performance - For the first half of 2025, Yong'an Futures recorded operating revenue of 5.56 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 54.1%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 170 million yuan, down 44.7%, with an EPS of 0.12 yuan and ROE of 1.32%, a decline of 1.1 percentage points year-on-year [1]. - In Q2, the company achieved operating revenue of 3.28 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 57.8%, but a net profit of 160 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 30.0%, showing a 16-fold increase quarter-on-quarter [1]. Business Segments - Futures brokerage remains the core profit driver, with net income from commissions and interest at 240 million yuan and 210 million yuan respectively, showing increases of 4.5% and decreases of 13.5% year-on-year. Investment income and fair value changes totaled 160 million yuan, down 63% year-on-year [2]. - The futures brokerage business reported an operating profit of 150 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 10%, while risk management shifted from profit to a loss of 60 million yuan [2]. - Fund sales and asset management showed positive growth, with profits of 20 million yuan and 5 million yuan respectively, increasing by 105% and 40% year-on-year [2]. Market Trends - The company’s offshore business saw a revenue of 120 million yuan, down 59% year-on-year, but the trading volume in offshore futures brokerage increased by 22%, with institutional clients making up 78% of the client structure [3]. - Fund sales significantly increased, with new sales reaching 172 million USD, a year-on-year growth of 186% [3]. Profit Forecast and Investment Rating - The company maintains its profit forecast for 2025, expecting net profits of 470 million yuan, 590 million yuan, and 660 million yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with a current market value corresponding to a PE of 48 times for 2025 [2].