Xin Lang Cai Jing·2025-08-29 09:03Core Viewpoint - The company reported its semi-annual performance for 2Q25, showing revenue of 7.996 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 2.71%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.059 billion yuan, up 6.46%, meeting market expectations [1]. Financial Performance - The company's gross margin for 2Q25 was 30.3%, a decrease of 0.94 percentage points year-on-year, while the net profit margin was 13.2%, an increase of 0.5 percentage points [2]. - Operating cash flow turned negative at -409 million yuan, down from 890 million yuan in the same period last year, primarily due to a net decrease of 1.938 billion yuan in customer and interbank deposits [2]. Segment Analysis - In 1H25, revenue from the railway sector was 8.324 billion yuan, down 7.87% year-on-year, affected by differences in project construction progress, with a gross margin of 31.32%, up 1.28 percentage points [3]. - The urban rail sector generated 3.916 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 12.85%, with a gross margin of 31.95%, down 1.01 percentage points [3]. - The overseas sector saw revenue of 944 million yuan, a significant increase of 55.92%, attributed to ongoing projects like the Guinea-Massi railway, with a gross margin of 21.24%, down 12.36 percentage points [3]. - New contracts signed in 1H25 totaled 17.568 billion yuan, a decrease of 16.44% year-on-year, with the railway sector contributing 11.14 billion yuan, up 12.64%, and the urban rail sector 3.774 billion yuan, up 26.51% [3]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - Due to the contraction in engineering business, the company has lowered its net profit forecasts for 2025 and 2026 by 7.9% and 11.4% to 3.519 billion yuan and 3.639 billion yuan, respectively [4]. - The current A-share price corresponds to a price-to-earnings ratio of 16.9 times for 2025 and 16.4 times for 2026, while the H-share price corresponds to 9.7 times and 9.2 times for the same years [4]. - The A-share target price is set at 6.60 yuan, indicating a potential upside of 17.2% from the current price, while the H-share target price is 3.60 HKD, with a 3% upside potential [4].