NETGEAR (NTGR) Up 15.1% Since Last Earnings Report: Can It Continue?

Core Viewpoint - NETGEAR, Inc. has shown a positive trend in its stock performance, with shares increasing by approximately 15.1% since the last earnings report, outperforming the S&P 500. The upcoming earnings release will be crucial in determining if this trend continues or if a pullback occurs [1]. Financial Performance - In Q2 2025, NETGEAR reported non-GAAP earnings per share of 6 cents, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of a loss of 16 cents, compared to a non-GAAP loss of 74 cents per share in the same quarter last year [2]. - The company generated net revenues of $170.5 million, exceeding the consensus estimate by 5.3% and surpassing its own guidance of $155-$170 million. This represents an 18.5% year-over-year increase and a 5.2% sequential increase [3]. Revenue Segmentation - NETGEAR's recurring services revenues reached $9 million, with a total of 559,000 recurring subscribers. The company acquired Exium to enhance its security offerings for small and medium enterprises [4]. - Revenues from the NFB segment increased by 38% to $82.6 million, driven by strong demand for ProAV managed switches, despite ongoing supply constraints [6]. - The Home Networking segment saw a revenue increase of 13.1% year-over-year and 10% sequentially, totaling $67.5 million, aided by a favorable product mix and improved operational efficiency [8]. Operational Insights - The gross margin improved significantly, rising to 37.8% from 22.4% year-over-year, with the NFB gross margin reaching 46.7% compared to 33.7% in the prior year [9]. - The company faced a non-GAAP operating loss of $1.2 million, a decline from an operating income of $31.1 million in the previous year [9]. Cash Flow and Liquidity - For the quarter ending June 29, 2025, NETGEAR used $1.8 million in cash from operations and reported $364 million in cash and cash equivalents, alongside $243.1 million in total current liabilities. The company repurchased shares worth $7.5 million during the quarter [11]. Guidance and Future Outlook - The company forecasts a GAAP operating margin between (11)% and (8)% and a non-GAAP operating margin between (5.5)% and (2.5)% for Q3 2025. GAAP tax expenses are expected to be between $0.8 million and $1.8 million [12]. - Analysts have not made any earnings estimate revisions in the past two months, indicating a stable outlook [13]. - NETGEAR holds a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold), suggesting an expectation of an in-line return from the stock in the coming months [15].