Energy Transfer vs. ONEOK: Which Stock Has More Upside Now?

Industry Overview - Companies in the Zacks Oil and Gas – Production Pipeline sector are crucial for meeting global energy demands, providing crude oil and natural gas essential for various industries and households [1] - Pipeline operators are vital for energy logistics, ensuring safe and efficient transportation of energy resources, which supports economic stability and the transition to sustainable energy [2] Company Comparisons - Energy Transfer (ET) and ONEOK Inc. (OKE) are significant midstream energy companies in North America, operating extensive networks for transporting and storing natural gas and crude oil [3] - Both companies connect producers in resource-rich areas to end markets, playing a key role in the energy supply chain [3] Investment Case for Energy Transfer - Energy Transfer presents a strong investment opportunity due to its diversified midstream network and stable fee-based cash flows, which are enhanced by strategic export terminal access and effective capital management [4] - The company is positioned for growth amid increasing U.S. energy output and global demand, with a strong distribution yield and consistent EBITDA growth [4] Investment Case for ONEOK - ONEOK offers a robust investment opportunity through its extensive natural gas liquids infrastructure and strategically located pipeline network [5] - The company generates stable cash flows with limited exposure to commodity price fluctuations, ensuring earnings visibility and competitive advantages in transportation and processing [5] Earnings Growth Projections - The Zacks Consensus Estimate indicates a decline of 3.47% in ET's earnings per unit for 2025, followed by a growth of 5.44% in 2026, with a long-term growth projection of 13.67% [7] - ONEOK's earnings per share are projected to grow by 4.78% in 2025 and 4.69% in 2026, with a long-term growth estimate of 7.68% [9] Financial Metrics - Energy Transfer's current Return on Equity (ROE) is 11.08%, while ONEOK's ROE stands at 14.90%, which is above the industry average of 11.55% [10] - The debt-to-capital ratio for ET is 57.29%, slightly lower than OKE's 57.49%, indicating both companies utilize debt for funding [13] Capital Expenditure Plans - Energy Transfer plans to invest $6.1 billion in capital expenditures in 2025, while ONEOK targets $2.8-$3.2 billion for the same year [15] Valuation and Price Performance - Energy Transfer is trading at a forward P/E of 11.85X, which is lower than ONEOK's 12.53X, suggesting a more attractive valuation [16] - Over the past three months, ET's units have gained 0.1%, contrasting with OKE's decline of 5.9%, while the sector overall has increased by 9.1% [17] Conclusion - Energy Transfer is favored over ONEOK due to its higher earnings growth expectations, larger capital expenditures, discounted valuation, and better recent price performance [19]