Ulta Beauty Delivers Strong Quarter, Investors Brush Off The Glow

Core Viewpoint - Ulta Beauty, Inc. reported strong second-quarter results, exceeding revenue and earnings expectations, and raised its full-year revenue guidance despite a decline in share price [1][2]. Financial Performance - The company achieved second-quarter revenue of $2.79 billion, surpassing analyst estimates of $2.67 billion [1]. - Earnings per share (EPS) were reported at $5.78, exceeding expectations of $4.97 [1]. Guidance and Outlook - Ulta raised its fiscal 2025 revenue guidance to between $12 billion and $12.1 billion, up from the previous forecast of $11.5 billion to $11.7 billion [2]. - The company now expects comparable sales growth of 2.5% to 3.5%, compared to the earlier range of flat to 1.5% growth [2]. Analyst Insights - Goldman Sachs highlighted three key points: the increase in FY25 comparable-sales outlook, anticipated higher SG&A growth, and higher EPS projections, which support the stock's recent strength [2]. - JPMorgan noted that the beauty category growth is reverting to its long-term trend of 3%–4%, with Ulta's unique market position driving share gains [4]. Market Position and Strategy - Ulta's comp gains are attributed to a healthy cosmetics category and effective execution, supported by increased investment in marketing, labor, and services [3]. - The company's loyalty program provides a structural data advantage, allowing it to understand customer preferences better than brands [5]. Price Action and Analyst Ratings - Despite the positive financial results, Ulta's shares fell by 6.44% to $496.47 [5]. - Goldman Sachs analyst Kate McShane raised the price forecast from $530 to $584, maintaining a Buy rating [7]. - JPMorgan analyst Christopher Horvers maintained an Overweight rating and increased the price forecast from $525 to $600 [7].