国金证券：给予美的集团买入评级

Core Viewpoint - Midea Group demonstrates robust performance with a strong focus on both B-end and C-end business growth, leading to a "buy" rating from Guojin Securities [1][6] Financial Performance - For Q2 2025, Midea Group reported revenue of 123.9 billion, a year-on-year increase of 11.0%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 13.59 billion, up 15.1% year-on-year [2] C-end Business Analysis - The C-end segment shows accelerated growth with a focus on high-end domestic sales and an increase in overseas OBM (Original Brand Manufacturer) share, achieving a revenue of 167.2 billion in the smart home business for H1 2025, a 13.31% increase year-on-year [3] - The retail sales of Colmo and Toshiba brands surged over 60% year-on-year, with nearly 1,700 Colmo stores established across more than 280 cities by June 2025 [3] B-end Business Analysis - The B-end segment continues to deepen its layout with a revenue of 64.54 billion in H1 2025, reflecting a 20.8% year-on-year growth, and accounting for 25.7% of total revenue, an increase of over 1 percentage point [4] - Key areas such as new energy and industrial technology saw a revenue increase of 28.6%, maintaining a leading position in air conditioning compressor global market share [4] - The smart building technology segment grew by 24.2%, significantly outperforming the industry average, while robotics and automation revenue increased by 8.3% [4] Profitability and Cash Flow - Midea Group's Q2 2025 gross margin was 26.2%, slightly down by 0.4% year-on-year, influenced by business structure and domestic pricing strategies [4] - Operating cash flow for Q2 2025 was 22.96 billion, a 17% increase year-on-year, indicating strong liquidity with contract liabilities at 38.65 billion [5] Profit Forecast and Valuation - The company is expected to achieve net profits of 43.0 billion, 47.86 billion, and 52.73 billion for the years 2025 to 2027, representing year-on-year growth rates of 11.6%, 11.3%, and 10.2% respectively [6] - The current stock price corresponds to a PE valuation of 13.2, 11.8, and 10.7 times for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 [6]