Core Insights - Alibaba's cloud revenue for the first quarter of fiscal year 2026 reached 33.398 billion yuan, marking a year-on-year growth of 26%, the highest growth rate in three years [1][2] - The adjusted profit margin for the cloud business was 8.8%, remaining stable year-on-year, while capital expenditures for the quarter were 38.7 billion yuan, a significant increase of 220% [1][2] - The acceleration of AI development in China starting in 2024 is expected to drive a resurgence in demand for cloud infrastructure, leading to a revaluation of Alibaba's cloud business [1][4] Financial Performance - Alibaba's cloud revenue growth of 26% indicates the beginning of a new growth cycle for Alibaba Cloud, following a period of stagnation [1][4] - The capital expenditure increase to 38.7 billion yuan suggests a strong commitment to expanding cloud infrastructure, which is seen as a leading indicator for future growth [3][4] Industry Outlook - The report highlights that the AI-driven new cycle is approaching, with Alibaba's increased capital expenditures signaling a turning point for Alibaba Cloud [3] - As the demand for cloud resources grows with the acceleration of AI initiatives, Alibaba Cloud is expected to return to double-digit growth by Q4 2024 [3][4] Competitive Advantage - Alibaba Cloud's competitive edge is expected to strengthen in the AI era, leveraging its advanced models and chip development capabilities [5] - The development of a new AI chip, currently in testing, aims to fill the gap left by NVIDIA in the Chinese market, enhancing Alibaba's position in the AI landscape [1][5]
长江证券:阿里云周期拐点已至 阿里巴巴(09988)有望在AI时代再次腾飞