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铁龙物流(600125):特种箱发送量稳步增长 利润率提升业绩高增

Core Viewpoint - The company reported a decline in revenue for the first half of 2025, primarily due to a contraction in the supply chain business, while the special container business showed steady growth in revenue and profitability [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved operating revenue of 5.513 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 22.14%, mainly impacted by the supply chain business contraction [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 379 million yuan, an increase of 33.34% year-on-year, with a non-recurring net profit of 373 million yuan, up 35.03% year-on-year [1] - For Q2 2025, the company reported operating revenue of 2.840 billion yuan, down 21.47% year-on-year, while net profit attributable to shareholders surged to 176 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 172.50% [1] Group 2: Special Container Business - The railway special container business saw a year-on-year increase in dispatch volume of 7.17%, with segment gross profit rising by 12.28% [2] - In the first half of 2025, this segment generated revenue of 1.361 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 3.81%, with a gross margin of 32.12%, up 2.42 percentage points [2] - The company adjusted its investment strategy, deploying 17,000 special containers, resulting in a total container asset holding of over 149,000 by the end of the first half of 2025 [2] Group 3: Railway Freight and Logistics - The railway freight and port logistics segment reported revenue of 696 million yuan, a slight decline of 0.93% year-on-year, with a gross margin of 20.36%, down 0.45 percentage points [3] - The company effectively utilized its railway transport organization advantages, achieving a year-on-year increase of 10.76% in total cargo volume for the Shaba Railway, reaching 29.1724 million tons [3] Group 4: Other Businesses - The supply chain management business experienced a significant revenue decline of 32.77%, impacting overall revenue fluctuations [4] - In the first half of 2025, the supply chain management segment sold 3.91 million tons of iron ore, coal, and coke, generating revenue of 3.361 billion yuan, with a gross margin of 1.23%, up 0.26 percentage points [4] - The real estate business accelerated its sales, achieving revenue of 66 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 72.89%, with a gross profit of 9.3354 million yuan, up 40.94% [4] Group 5: Profit Forecast and Investment Outlook - The company anticipates a new cycle in container manufacturing and expects stable improvements in special container turnover levels, projecting net profits of 585 million yuan, 690 million yuan, and 805 million yuan for 2025-2027, representing year-on-year growth of 53.2%, 17.9%, and 16.7% respectively [5] - The company maintains a "buy" rating based on its expected performance growth and operational stability [5]