信达证券：给予台华新材买入评级

Core Viewpoint - The nylon industry is experiencing weakened supply and demand, leading to pressure on the performance of Taihua New Materials in the second quarter of 2025 [1][3]. Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, Taihua New Materials achieved operating revenue of 3.126 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 8.58% [2]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 325 million yuan, down 23.31% year-on-year, with a non-recurring net profit of 205 million yuan, down 44.71% year-on-year [2]. - In Q2 2025, the company reported operating revenue of 1.647 billion yuan, a year-on-year decline of 15.36% but a quarter-on-quarter increase of 11.46% [2]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders in Q2 was 162 million yuan, down 40.92% year-on-year and 0.73% quarter-on-quarter [2]. Industry Analysis - The nylon industry is facing significant market pressure due to a temporary imbalance in supply and demand after previous growth and capacity expansion [3]. - The average Brent crude oil price in the first half of 2025 was $71 per barrel, a year-on-year decrease of 15%, impacting raw material prices [3]. - Prices for key raw materials, caprolactam and nylon chips, fell by 26.01% and 15.18% year-on-year, respectively, while the price of nylon filament decreased by 10.28% [3]. Competitive Position - Taihua New Materials has a strong competitive edge with its integrated production capacity across the nylon industry chain, including recycling, polymerization, spinning, and weaving [4]. - The company is investing $100 million to establish a new production base in Vietnam, which is expected to enhance global supply capabilities and market share [4]. - The company’s export revenue in the first half of 2025 was 457 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of nearly 20% [4]. Profit Forecast - The forecasted net profits for Taihua New Materials from 2025 to 2027 are 756 million yuan, 977 million yuan, and 1.230 billion yuan, with year-on-year growth rates of 4.2%, 29.2%, and 25.9%, respectively [4]. - The estimated earnings per share (EPS) for the same period are projected to be 0.85 yuan, 1.10 yuan, and 1.38 yuan, with corresponding price-to-earnings (PE) ratios of 11.16, 8.64, and 6.86 times [4].