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行情稳步上行,如何看待后市?
Shang Hai Zheng Quan Bao·2025-08-31 14:15

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that the current equity market valuation is still within a reasonable pricing range, and future market trends depend on fundamental improvements to digest existing valuations [1][2] - As of August 22, the Shenyin Wanguo A-share index's price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is 21.68 times, which is at the 76th percentile of the past 10 years and the 65th percentile of the past 20 years, indicating a relatively high P/E ratio despite the price-to-book (P/B) ratio being at a historical median level [1] - The stock-bond valuation ratio has fallen below the 40th percentile, suggesting that equity assets still hold certain allocation value [1] Group 2 - Recent disclosures of listed companies' semi-annual reports indicate an improvement in performance compared to the same period in the previous two years, suggesting a potential bottoming out of fundamentals [2] - The market style is expected to shift from the previous "dividend + small-cap" structure to high-growth sectors if fundamentals confirm a recovery [2] - Overall, the market is likely to continue a "central oscillation with an upward shift" in its operational rhythm in the near term [2]