“十四五”能源规划成绩评述及形势展望

Core Insights - The "14th Five-Year Plan" marks a significant period for energy transition in China, achieving notable accomplishments despite various challenges, with a focus on optimizing industrial layout and enhancing system resilience for high-quality energy development in the future [1] Group 1: Achievements in Energy Development - Energy supply capacity has been significantly enhanced, with oil production expected to reach approximately 213 million tons by 2024, and natural gas production projected to hit 246.4 billion cubic meters [2] - Coal supply security has improved, with major coal supply bases established, and over 300 million kilowatts of coal power units have undergone flexibility upgrades [2] - The total installed power generation capacity reached 3.65 billion kilowatts by mid-2025, with China leading globally in power infrastructure [3] Group 2: Acceleration of Green Energy Transition - Renewable energy has become the mainstay of power generation, with total installed capacity reaching 2.159 billion kilowatts, accounting for 59.2% of the total [4] - Nuclear power development has progressed steadily, with operational capacity reaching 60.91 million kilowatts, making China the world leader in nuclear power [4] - The ability of the power system to accommodate high proportions of renewable energy has significantly improved, with new storage capacity reaching 73.76 million kilowatts by the end of 2024 [4] Group 3: Optimization of Energy Layout - Key regional energy projects have been advanced, including large-scale wind and solar bases in the northern regions and distributed photovoltaic development in eastern load centers [7] - Cross-regional energy transmission channels have been established, enhancing the capacity for clean energy transmission to eastern regions [7] - Rural energy transformation initiatives have been implemented, with over 83,000 village-level photovoltaic assistance stations established [8] Group 4: Strengthening Energy Technology Innovation - The efficiency of clean coal utilization has improved, with a 40% increase in the added value of coal conversion [9] - Breakthroughs in deep-sea oil and gas resource development have been achieved, including the construction of the world's first 100,000-ton deep-water semi-submersible production platform [9] - Significant advancements in high-voltage transmission technology have been made, with full domestic production of key equipment [9] Group 5: International Energy Cooperation - Energy cooperation with regions such as Russia and the Middle East has been deepened, enhancing energy supply security and infrastructure connectivity [10] - China's photovoltaic products have captured approximately 85% of the global market share, with numerous international renewable energy projects established [10] - Active participation in global energy governance and cooperation platforms has been emphasized, promoting collaborative efforts in addressing climate change [10]