智通财经网·2025-09-01 01:08Core Viewpoint - The report from CITIC Securities indicates that the securities industry is expected to achieve significant profit growth in the first half of 2025, with 44 listed brokerages projected to generate a net profit of 948.46 billion yuan, marking a year-on-year increase of 52.9% [1][2] Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, the adjusted operating revenue for listed brokerages reached 2,489.09 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 34.7% [2] - The industry's net profit margin improved from 34.1% to 41.9%, an increase of 7.8 percentage points [2] - The diluted non-GAAP ROE for listed brokerages in the first half of 2025 was 6.9%, up 1.6 percentage points from the first half of 2024 [2] Revenue Growth Drivers - The average daily trading volume in the A-share market increased by 87% year-on-year, leading to a 48% rise in securities trading income [3] - In July and August 2025, the average daily stock trading volume reached 1.96 trillion yuan, a 41% increase compared to the first half of 2025 [3] - The equity financing in the A-share and Hong Kong markets for the first half of 2025 was 7,144 billion yuan and 2,845 billion HKD, respectively, representing year-on-year growth of 87% and 328% [3] Business Segmentation - The revenue from asset management in the first half of 2025 was 212.36 billion yuan, down 3.2% year-on-year, but the top 10 brokerages' asset management income continued to grow, increasing their market share from 68% to 72% [4] - The margin financing and securities lending fee rates decreased by approximately 10% year-on-year, with the scale of margin financing expanding from 1.85 trillion yuan at the end of the first half to 2.25 trillion yuan by the end of August [5] - The international business segment generated a total income of 301.77 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, with some leading firms seeing international business income accounting for about 20% of their profits [6] Investment Strategy - The securities industry is expected to leverage high trading volumes, normalized equity financing, and a recovering capital market to demonstrate performance resilience in the second half of 2025 [8] - Two investment themes are recommended: 1) Development theme focusing on market share potential and long-term ROE improvement capabilities; 2) Performance theme focusing on companies with improved performance and valuation attractiveness [8]