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中金:维持龙湖集团(00960)跑赢行业评级 目标价11.5港元
智通财经网·2025-09-01 03:07

Core Viewpoint - The report from CICC indicates that with a significant improvement in market risk appetite, Longfor Group's financial security has been solidified, maintaining an outperform rating for the industry with a target price of HKD 11.5, corresponding to 0.46 times the 2025 target P/B and a 9% upside potential [1] Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, the company reported a revenue increase of 25% year-on-year to CNY 58.75 billion, primarily due to an increase in development settlement scale; the core net profit attributable to shareholders was CNY 1.38 billion, in line with market expectations [1] - The company declared an interim dividend of CNY 0.07 per share, with a slight increase in the payout ratio to 34.2% [1] Debt Management - The company has successfully reduced interest-bearing liabilities by CNY 6.5 billion to CNY 169.8 billion compared to the end of 2024, leading to a decrease in net debt ratio and pre-debt ratio by 0.5 percentage points and 1.2 percentage points to 51.2% and 56.1%, respectively [2] - The financing cost for the first half of 2025 decreased to 3.58%, with the average loan term extended to 10.95 years [2] Operational Performance - The company's operational business revenue increased by 2.5% year-on-year to CNY 7.01 billion, with shopping center retail sales rising by 17% year-on-year to CNY 40.2 billion [3] - The service business revenue remained stable at CNY 6.26 billion, with the managed area approximately 400 million square meters [3] Strategic Focus - The company aims to further reduce interest-bearing liabilities by approximately CNY 20 billion to around CNY 145 billion by the end of 2025, with about CNY 100 billion being operational property loans and long-term loans [4] - The company expects to achieve a net cash inflow of approximately CNY 100 billion for the year, with positive contributions from both development and diversified cash flows [4] Future Outlook - The company anticipates that rental income growth from shopping malls will normalize starting in 2026, with plans to open 10 new malls in the second half of the year [5] - The operational and service businesses are expected to continue serving as a stabilizing force for the company's cash flow and core net profit [5]