Group 1 - The Australian dollar (AUD) against the US dollar (USD) has risen to around 0.65, with a current quote of 0.6547, up 0.12% from the previous close of 0.6539 [1] - Australia's July Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by 2.8% year-on-year, significantly higher than June's 1.9% and market expectations of 2.3%, marking the highest level since July 2024 [1] - Following the CPI data release, market expectations for the Reserve Bank of Australia's (RBA) interest rate cuts have shifted, with the probability of a rate cut in September decreasing from 30% to 22%, while the probability for November increased to 61% [1] Group 2 - The AUD/USD remains within a familiar price range, with the first significant resistance level at 0.6625, the peak from July 24, 2025 [2] - If the price breaks above 0.6625, the next key level to watch is 0.6687, the peak from November 2024, with a psychological target of 0.7000 beyond that [2] - Current support is at 0.6414, and if this level is breached, the 200-day simple moving average (SMA) at 0.6384 will come into focus, followed by the June low of 0.6372 [2]
通胀超预期短期提振澳元 前行之路仍系关键数据
Jin Tou Wang·2025-09-01 04:00