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通胀数据温和 机构维持对加拿大央行下月降息预测
Jin Tou Wang·2025-09-01 04:00

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the recent trends in the Canadian dollar against the US dollar, highlighting the impact of inflation data on the Canadian central bank's interest rate decisions [1] Group 1: Inflation Data - The overall inflation rate in Canada decreased from 1.9% to 1.7% in July [1] - The inflation rate excluding indirect taxes also fell from 2.5% to 2.2% [1] - Core inflation, which excludes volatile items like food and energy, remains above 3%, indicating persistent inflationary pressures [1] Group 2: Central Bank Predictions - Desjardins Group maintains its prediction for a potential interest rate cut by the Bank of Canada next month, influenced by the "relatively mild" inflation data [1] - Economist Royce Mendes noted that price increases related to tariffs may have begun earlier than the central bank anticipated [1] Group 3: Currency Trends - The USD/CAD exchange rate was reported at 1.3733, with a slight decline of 0.01% from the opening price of 1.3737 [1] - The Bollinger Bands indicate resistance at the upper band of 1.3766 and support at the lower band of 1.3739, with the latest price fluctuating around 1.3760 [1]