Core Viewpoint - The performance of A-share listed banks has shown a comprehensive recovery, with state-owned banks demonstrating the most significant improvement in performance as of H1 2025 [1][2]. Financial Performance - As of H1 2025, the cumulative year-on-year growth rates for A-share listed banks are 1.0% in revenue, 1.1% in PPOP, and 0.8% in net profit attributable to shareholders, with quarter-on-quarter increases of +2.8 percentage points, +3.3 percentage points, and +2.0 percentage points respectively [1]. - The growth in net interest income increased by 0.4 percentage points quarter-on-quarter, while net fee income and other non-interest income grew by 3.8 percentage points and 13.9 percentage points respectively [1]. Asset and Loan Growth - Total assets, interest-earning assets, and total loans of listed banks saw year-on-year growth rates of +2.1 percentage points, with loan growth being marginally positive at +0.04 percentage points [2]. - The contribution of corporate and retail loans is approximately 9:1, indicating that state-owned and city commercial banks have stronger marginal loan growth compared to joint-stock and rural commercial banks [2]. Interest Margin and Cost - The net interest margin for listed banks in H1 2025 is estimated at 1.33%, narrowing by 11 basis points compared to 2024, primarily due to improved funding costs [3]. - The cost of interest-bearing liabilities improved by 30 basis points in H1 2025 compared to the same period last year, with high-interest time deposits entering a concentrated repricing cycle [3]. Asset Quality - As of H1 2025, the non-performing loan (NPL) ratio decreased by 0.4 basis points quarter-on-quarter, while the overdue rate increased by 3 basis points [4]. - The pressure on asset quality remains concentrated in personal loans, with mortgage loans, consumer loans, business loans, and credit cards showing increases in NPL generation rates [4]. Capital Adequacy - Capital adequacy ratios have significantly improved, with 17 banks planning to implement mid-term dividends in H1 2025, particularly among state-owned banks [5]. Investment Recommendations - With the improvement in bank performance in H1 2025, the adjustment space for bank stocks is expected to be limited, focusing on high-dividend stocks and fundamentally sound mid-sized banks [7].
东方证券:25H1银行业绩全面回暖 非信贷资产驱动扩表提速