法国商界警告本国经济衰退风险

Group 1 - French business leaders warn that current political instability may lead to severe economic consequences, highlighting a lack of consensus on public finance reform [1][2] - The French government is facing a trust vote on September 8, with opposition parties planning to reject the government's deficit plan, indicating a challenging political landscape [2][3] - Concerns about a potential recession are rising, with warnings from business leaders about dwindling orders and increasing tariff pressures, which could threaten economic growth [2][3] Group 2 - The yield on France's benchmark 10-year government bonds has surpassed 3.5%, nearing the highest level since the Eurozone debt crisis, reflecting market unease [2][3] - The French economy is heavily reliant on consumer spending, and increased uncertainty is seen as detrimental to consumer confidence, raising the risk of significant economic shocks [2][3] - France's fiscal deficit is projected to be 5.8% of GDP in 2024, with public debt reaching 114% of GDP by the end of Q1 2025, indicating a concerning fiscal outlook [3]