【环球财经】法国商界警告本国经济衰退风险

Group 1 - French business leaders warn that current political instability may lead to severe economic consequences [1] - The Prime Minister, Élisabeth Borne, is seeking a confidence vote from the National Assembly on September 8 regarding the government's budget plan for 2026 [1][3] - The opposition parties have announced plans to reject the government's fiscal deficit strategy, indicating a challenging political environment [3] Group 2 - Patrick Martin, head of the French Business Movement, highlighted a real risk of recession, citing dwindling orders and increased tariff pressures as significant threats to economic growth [4] - The yield on France's benchmark 10-year government bonds has surpassed 3.5%, nearing the highest level since the Eurozone debt crisis [4] - Consumer spending is currently the only support for economic growth in France, with increasing uncertainty negatively impacting consumer confidence [4] Group 3 - The ongoing political turmoil has disrupted financial markets, with the spread between French and German 10-year government bonds approaching the highest level since 2012 [6] - France's fiscal deficit is projected to be 5.8% of GDP in 2024, while public debt is expected to reach 114% of GDP by the end of Q1 2025 [6]