MTG Outperforms Industry, Hits 52-Week High: How to Play the Stock

Core Insights - MGIC Investment Corporation (MTG) has reached a 52-week high of $28.67, closing at $27.83, with a year-to-date gain of 17.4%, outperforming its industry and the S&P 500 composite [2] - The company has a market capitalization of $6.41 billion, with an average trading volume of 2.1 million shares over the last three months [3] - MTG is trading above its 50-day and 200-day simple moving averages, indicating strong upward momentum [4] Financial Performance - MTG is expanding its insurance-in-force portfolio through robust new business and high annual persistency [7] - The company has a price-to-book value of 1.25X, significantly lower than the industry average of 2.48X, making it an attractive entry point for investors [8] - The return on invested capital (ROIC) has improved to 11.2%, well above the industry average of 2% [9] - Earnings have grown by 12% over the past five years, surpassing the industry average of 9.8% [11] Growth Projections - The Zacks Consensus Estimate projects a 3.4% year-over-year increase in earnings per share for 2025, with revenues expected to reach $1.23 billion, reflecting a 0.9% increase [10] - Analysts have raised their estimates for 2025 and 2026, with the consensus for 2025 earnings moving up by 4.1% [13] Market Dynamics - New business and solid annual persistency are expected to drive growth, supported by increased home sales and refinancing activity [16] - The company is witnessing a decline in claim filings, which will strengthen its financial profile [16] - MTG is enhancing its capital position through capital contributions and reinsurance transactions, with $742.2 million remaining in its authorization for share repurchases through December 2026 [17] Strategic Outlook - Higher premiums, excellent credit quality, and new business are anticipated to continue driving growth for MGIC Investment [18] - The company engages in share buybacks as part of wealth distribution to shareholders, reflecting its capital strength and financial performance [18] - Optimistic analyst sentiment and favorable ROIC are expected to benefit MGIC Investment in the long term [19]