ZACKS·2025-09-01 15:36Core Viewpoint - The Zacks Automotive Replacement Parts industry is facing challenges due to evolving vehicle technology, which increases complexity and repair costs, while also pressuring supply chains to adapt quickly. However, the aging U.S. vehicle fleet is expected to support strong demand for replacement parts, as consumers focus on maintaining older vehicles rather than purchasing new ones [1]. Industry Overview - The Zacks Automotive - Replacement Parts industry includes companies involved in the production, marketing, and distribution of replacement components for the automotive aftermarket. Key components include engine, steering, drive axle, suspension, brakes, and gearbox parts. The market is less exposed to downturns as consumers prioritize maintenance over new purchases [2]. Factors Influencing Industry Dynamics - Evolving technology is creating significant challenges for the automotive supply chain, as modern vehicles require specialized knowledge and equipment for maintenance and repair. This complexity can lead to longer repair times and higher costs, particularly with the rise of electric and autonomous vehicles [3]. - The shift towards e-commerce is forcing companies to invest heavily in digital capabilities to remain competitive, which can pressure near-term cash flows despite enhancing long-term growth prospects [4]. - The average age of vehicles in the U.S. has increased to 12.8 years in 2025, up from 12.6 years in 2024, leading to higher demand for replacement parts as owners delay new purchases [5]. Industry Performance and Valuation - The Zacks Automotive – Replacement Parts industry currently holds a Zacks Industry Rank of 197, placing it in the bottom 20% of approximately 250 Zacks industries, indicating weak near-term prospects [6][7]. - Over the past year, the industry has underperformed compared to the Auto, Tires, and Truck sector, losing 19.5% against the sector's growth of 12.2% and the S&P 500's return of 15.7% [9]. - The industry is trading at an EV/EBITDA ratio of 6.89X, significantly lower than the S&P 500's 17.81X and the sector's 22.03X, with historical trading ranges between 6.04X and 12.15X over the past five years [12]. Notable Companies - Dorman Products, Inc. (DORM): A leading supplier of replacement parts, Dorman's Light Duty segment introduced new automotive repair solutions, creating over 12 million new sales opportunities. The company revised its 2025 net sales forecast to a growth of 7-9% year-over-year, up from 3-5% [14]. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Dorman's 2025 earnings implies an 18.1% year-over-year growth [15]. - Standard Motor Products, Inc. (SMP): A major manufacturer of automotive replacement parts, SMP's acquisition of Nissens is expected to yield $8-$12 million in annualized cost savings within 24 months. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for SMP's 2025 sales and earnings indicates year-over-year growth of 19.8% and 16.7%, respectively [19][20]. - Douglas Dynamics, Inc. (PLOW): Specializing in snow and ice control equipment, Douglas's Solutions segment reported a 5.4% increase in net sales and a 39.8% growth in adjusted EBITDA in Q2 2025. The company raised its 2025 net sales forecast to $630-$660 million [23]. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Douglas's 2025 sales and earnings suggests year-over-year growth of 13.3% and 46.9%, respectively [24].