Cisco's Security Portfolio Gains Traction: A Sign of More Upside?

Core Insights - Cisco Systems' security business is experiencing strong demand, particularly for Cisco Secure Access, Hypershield, and XDR, with mid-single-digit order growth in Q4 fiscal 2025 [1][2][10] - Security revenues reached $1.95 billion, reflecting a 9% year-over-year increase, driven by offerings from Splunk and SASE [2][10] - Cisco's collaboration with NVIDIA enhances its leadership in security by integrating Nexus switches with Spectrum-X architecture [3] Security Business Performance - Cisco's security revenues were $1.95 billion, up 9% year-over-year, with significant contributions from Splunk and SASE [2][10] - The company added 750 new customers in the reported quarter, with Splunk synergies contributing to a 14% year-over-year growth in new logos [1][10] - Excluding sluggish U.S. federal order growth, security order growth in the rest of the world increased by double digits in Q4 [2] Future Outlook - Cisco expects Q1 fiscal 2026 revenues between $14.65 billion and $14.85 billion, indicating a 6.7% growth from the previous year [4][10] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Q1 fiscal 2026 is set at $14.77 billion [4] - Earnings per share for Q1 fiscal 2026 are projected between 97 cents and 99 cents, suggesting a 7.7% year-over-year growth [14] Competitive Landscape - Cisco faces increasing competition from Broadcom and Okta in the enterprise security sector [5] - Broadcom's security offerings accounted for 44% of its revenues in Q2 fiscal 2025, with new tools aimed at improving security and operational efficiency [6] - Okta's AI-powered capabilities are gaining traction, enhancing its product offerings in identity security [7] Stock Performance and Valuation - Cisco shares have appreciated 16.7% year-to-date, outperforming the broader Zacks Computer and Technology sector's return of 12.9% [8] - Cisco's forward 12-month price/sales ratio is 4.59X, compared to the industry average of 4.31X, indicating potential overvaluation [12]