券商秋季策略会密集发声，后市这样研判

Group 1: Market Outlook - The overall trend of the A-share market is expected to be positive, supported by multiple favorable factors, with a focus on technology, consumption, and non-bank financial sectors for investment allocation [1][2] - Analysts believe that the A-share market can achieve valuation recovery and structural opportunities in a stable macroeconomic environment, aided by sufficient policy support and moderately loose monetary policy [2][3] Group 2: Economic Policy and Growth - Domestic economic policies will focus on three main lines: addressing real estate and local hidden debt risks, expanding fiscal stimulus to upgrade domestic consumption, and stimulating effective investment across society [2] - Economic growth in China is expected to return to around 5.0% by the second half of 2026 after a brief transformation period, marking the beginning of a new phase of high-quality development [2] Group 3: Sector Preferences - The brokerage firms are optimistic about technology growth assets, viewing them as crucial for economic transformation and benefiting from policy support and market demand [4] - Specific investment recommendations include non-bank financial sectors, real estate chains, overseas computing power chains, innovative pharmaceuticals, and domestic AI infrastructure and applications [4] Group 4: Market Dynamics - The current market environment is characterized by a balance between fundamental and liquidity-driven factors, with expectations for a turning point in return on equity (ROE) in the fourth quarter of this year [5] - There are indications of overbought conditions in the market, suggesting that investors should maintain some liquidity to manage potential future volatility [5]