Core Viewpoint - The recent dovish remarks by Powell at the Federal Reserve's annual meeting signal a likely interest rate cut in September, leading the market to bet on this outcome [1] Group 1: Federal Reserve and Economic Impact - The anticipated interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve is expected to drive down real interest rates in the U.S., potentially leading to increased inflows into ETFs and benefiting gold prices [1] - A sustained upward trend in gold prices is likely unless the U.S. economy can achieve high growth with low inflation and effectively reduce the deficit [1] Group 2: Investment Opportunities - Current valuations and chip structures of typical gold companies are favorable, and they are expected to benefit significantly from rising gold prices and increased production in the future [1] - The convergence of the gold-silver ratio typically occurs after a period of monetary easing when the economy begins to recover, which may trigger the industrial properties of silver [1] - If the anticipated interest rate cuts stabilize the economy, there may be investment opportunities in silver [1]
华泰证券:9月美降息概率较大,重视金银板块机会