Core Viewpoint - CICC has downgraded the Non-IFRS net profit forecast for Lingmeng Film and Television (09857) for 2025 by 60.6% to 42.93 million yuan due to investments in new businesses like short dramas, while raising the 2026 forecast by 48.7% to 173 million yuan, reflecting expected capacity release in long dramas [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - For 1H25, the company reported operating revenue of 401 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 108% [2] - The Non-IFRS net profit for 1H25 was 14.44 million yuan, turning profitable compared to the previous year, aligning with market expectations [1][2] - The company's gross margin for 1H25 improved to 25.2% [2] Group 2: Business Segments - The company is focusing on high-quality drama development and gradually increasing production capacity, with short drama revenue exceeding 50 million yuan in 1H25 [2] - In 1H25, the company launched over 3,400 minutes of short dramas, a 70% year-on-year increase, with a current scale of 16 episodes per month [2] - The overseas business generated over 33 million yuan in revenue in 1H25, 2.5 times that of 1H24, with strategic adjustments in distribution [2] Group 3: Future Outlook - The company anticipates gradual capacity release for long dramas post-2025, with several projects in production and preparation stages [3] - Upcoming long dramas include "Ziyue Gui" which aired on August 18, and others like "Yue Ming Qian Li" and "Zha Xi" are in the pipeline [3] - The company is advised to maintain focus on the release pace of long drama capacity and the potential for profit improvement [3]
中金：维持柠萌影视跑赢行业评级 上调目标价至5.3港元