瑞士CPI数据周四出炉 瑞郎走势迎来关键考验

Core Viewpoint - The USD/CHF exchange rate opened at 0.8000 and is currently showing a slight increase, with market expectations focused on the upcoming Swiss CPI data for August, which is anticipated to remain stable at an annual rate of 0.2% [1] Exchange Rate Movement - The USD/CHF rate is currently at 0.8012, reflecting a 0.15% increase from the previous close [1] - The highest price recorded today is 0.8016, while the lowest is 0.7999 [1] Economic Indicators - The Swiss CPI data set to be released on Thursday is crucial for the CHF's performance, as higher-than-expected inflation could reduce the likelihood of the Swiss National Bank (SNB) lowering interest rates into negative territory later this year [1] - The SNB had previously cut the policy rate to zero in June, with the CPI for May showing a year-on-year rate of -0.1% [1] Monetary Policy Outlook - The next SNB interest rate decision is scheduled for September 25, followed by another on December 11, with the CPI data expected to provide significant insights into market expectations regarding SNB's monetary policy [1] Technical Analysis - The USD/CHF is experiencing narrow fluctuations around 0.8015, facing clear resistance from a recent downward trend line, indicating a bearish outlook in the short term [1] - The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is notably below the midline, suggesting strong bearish momentum [1] - Resistance is identified near the recent high of 0.8100, while initial support is at the psychological level of 0.8000; a break below this support could lead to further declines towards the recent low of 0.7910 [1]