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长城汽车(601633):Q2毛利率回升 密集新车值得期待
Xin Lang Cai Jing·2025-09-02 04:28

Core Viewpoint - The company is experiencing a mixed performance in 2025, with revenue growth but declining profit margins, while new product launches and international expansion are expected to drive future growth [1][5]. Financial Performance - In H1 2025, the company achieved revenue of 92.33 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 1%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 6.34 billion yuan, a decrease of 10% year-on-year [1]. - In Q2 2025, revenue reached 52.32 billion yuan, showing a quarter-on-quarter increase of 8% and a year-on-year increase of 31%. The net profit for Q2 was 4.59 billion yuan, reflecting a quarter-on-quarter increase of 19% and a year-on-year increase of 162% [1]. Product and Market Strategy - The company plans to launch over 10 new models in H2 2025, focusing on the Tank and Wey brands, which are expected to enhance brand positioning and market competitiveness [3]. - The sales of new energy vehicles reached 98,000 units in Q2 2025, a year-on-year increase of 65%, with a new energy penetration rate rising from 26% in Q2 2024 to 31% in Q2 2025 [2]. International Expansion - In H1 2025, overseas sales totaled 198,000 units, a decrease of 2% year-on-year, but July saw a recovery with sales of 41,000 units, an increase of 8% year-on-year [4]. - The company is expanding its presence in South America and right-hand drive markets, with significant investments planned for Thailand and a new factory in Brazil expected to boost production capacity [4]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The net profit forecast for 2025-2027 has been adjusted to 13.1 billion, 15.9 billion, and 18.1 billion yuan, reflecting a conservative outlook due to increased competition in the automotive industry [5]. - The target price for the company's A-shares is set at 33.66 yuan, based on a 22x PE ratio, while the target price for H-shares is adjusted to 23.28 HKD, based on a 14x PE ratio [5].