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第一上海|中国石油股份(857,买入):业绩微降,业务优化与高分红彰显转型韧性
Xin Lang Cai Jing·2025-09-02 04:36

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles indicates that the decline in oil prices has led to a decrease in the company's performance, with a reported revenue of 1.5 trillion yuan in the first half of 2025, down 6.7% year-on-year, and a net profit of 840.1 billion yuan, down 5.4% year-on-year [1] - The company is optimizing its business structure, accelerating the transition to renewable energy while maintaining stable oil and gas production, achieving a crude oil output of 476 million barrels, up 0.3% year-on-year, and a marketable natural gas output of 26.8 trillion cubic feet, also up 0.3% year-on-year [1] - The company is leveraging its integrated industry advantages to drive transformation and reduce costs, with a reported 8.1% decrease in unit oil and gas operating costs and a 2.2% decrease in refining cash processing costs [1] Group 2 - The company has maintained a high dividend payout, distributing 40.265 billion yuan in mid-2025, with a dividend rate of 47.94%, reflecting strong profit resilience amid oil price fluctuations [1] - The target price for the company's stock is set at 9.11 HKD, with a buy rating, as the company is expected to benefit from the elasticity of natural gas, offsetting oil price volatility, leading to improved operational performance [2] - Revenue projections for the company from 2025 to 2027 are estimated at 2.8732 trillion yuan, 2.88 trillion yuan, and 2.9366 trillion yuan respectively, with net profits expected to be 159.1 billion yuan and 170 billion yuan in the following years [2]