Core Viewpoint - The wind power sector has shown significant growth in revenue and profit in the first half of 2025, indicating a positive industry trend and potential for continued upward momentum in the coming periods [1][2]. Group 1: Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, the wind power sector achieved revenue of 104.7 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 45.6%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 4.23 billion yuan, up 15.5% year-on-year [1][2]. - In the second quarter of 2025, the sector's revenue reached 66.4 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 52.4%, with net profit of 2.9 billion yuan, a 19% increase, marking the highest quarterly performance in nearly 23 years [1][2]. - Despite high revenue growth, the overall gross and net profit margins have slightly declined due to an increase in manufacturing revenue share, impacting the gross margin of the complete machine segment [2]. Group 2: Demand and Orders - The demand for wind power installations is expected to remain high in the second half of 2025 and into 2026, supported by elevated inventory and contract liabilities across most segments [3]. - Leading manufacturers have reported an upward trend in their order backlogs, with the industry currently holding approximately 300 GW of orders, indicating continued growth in domestic installations [3]. Group 3: Segment Performance - Major turbine manufacturers have improved their manufacturing margins, with companies like Goldwind and Envision experiencing a 2-4 percentage point increase in gross margins, primarily due to a higher proportion of high-priced orders [4]. - The offshore wind segment is accelerating, with significant growth in overseas revenues for companies like Goldwind and Mingyang, which saw over 50% growth in international wind turbine sales [4]. - The cable and component segments are also showing strong performance, with historical highs in inventory and contract liabilities, particularly benefiting from the rising demand in offshore wind projects [5]. Group 4: Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on three main investment themes: 1. The complete machine segment, benefiting from domestic wind turbine demand and price improvements, with recommended stocks including Goldwind Technology, Envision, and Mingyang [6]. 2. The cable and foundation segments, which are expected to see profit growth due to high demand and overseas orders, with recommended stocks including Daikin Heavy Industries and Oriental Cable [6]. 3. The casting and blade segments, which are anticipated to have significant earnings elasticity due to supply-demand tightness and price increases, with recommended stocks including Jinlei and Riyue [6].
国金证券:盈利继续拐点向上 风电行业景气加速上行