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中邮证券:楼市迎“金九银十” 市场热度待提升
智通财经网·2025-09-02 06:46

Core Insights - The total sales of the top 100 real estate companies in China for January to August 2025 reached 23,270.5 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year decline of 13.3%, consistent with the decline observed from January to July [1] - The average price of new residential properties in 100 cities in August was 16,910 yuan per square meter, showing a month-on-month increase of 0.20% and a year-on-year increase of 2.73% [1] - The average price of second-hand residential properties in 100 cities in August was 13,481 yuan per square meter, with a month-on-month decrease of 0.76% and a year-on-year decrease of 7.34% [1] - Following policy optimizations for home purchases outside the Fifth Ring Road in Beijing, similar optimizations were implemented in Shanghai, suggesting a potential increase in market activity in the upcoming traditional peak season [1] New Housing Transactions and Inventory - The new housing transaction area in 30 major cities last week was 156.72 million square meters, with a cumulative area of 59,450.2 million square meters for the year, reflecting a year-on-year decrease of 4.6% [2] - The average transaction area in the last four weeks for first-tier cities was 38.69 million square meters, down 26.3% year-on-year and 3.9% month-on-month [2] - The average transaction area for second-tier cities was 73.61 million square meters, showing a slight year-on-year increase of 0.5% and a month-on-month increase of 0.5% [2] - The average transaction area for third-tier cities was 31.49 million square meters, with a year-on-year decrease of 11.1% and a month-on-month decrease of 2.7% [2] - The available residential area in 14 cities was 80,093.9 million square meters, down 9.53% year-on-year [2] Second-Hand Housing Transactions and Listings - The second-hand housing transaction area in 20 cities last week was 193.12 million square meters, with a cumulative area of 75,806.1 million square meters for the year, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 15.3% [2] - The average transaction area in the last four weeks for these cities was 195.07 million square meters, showing a year-on-year increase of 2.7% [2] - The national second-hand housing listing index as of August 18, 2025, was 12.14, down 2.4% month-on-month [2] Land Market Transactions - In the last week, 100 major cities saw 91 new residential land supplies and 25 residential land transactions [3] - The average transaction price for residential land was 5,103.75 yuan per square meter, with a premium rate of 3.68%, down 0.94 percentage points month-on-month [3] - The average transaction price for commercial land was 1,759.5 yuan per square meter, with a premium rate of 0.62%, down 0.19 percentage points month-on-month [3]