Group 1 - The international spot gold price surged past $3,500 per ounce, marking a rise of over $100 in just one week, reaching a historical high [1] - The short-term increase in gold prices is driven by two main factors: the rising expectations of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve and concerns over the independence of the Fed, which has weakened confidence in the US dollar [1] - Market data indicates an 87.4% probability of a 25 basis point rate cut by the Fed in September, with a 48.6% chance of a total cut of 50 basis points by October [1] Group 2 - Ongoing global trade tensions and inflation expectations, along with accommodative monetary policies from major economies, are expected to continue benefiting the gold market [2] - Geopolitical risks, particularly the worsening situation in the Middle East and the ongoing Russia-Ukraine conflict, are likely to drive demand for gold as a safe-haven asset [2] - Central banks are increasing their gold holdings not only for diversification of foreign exchange reserves but also as a hedge against declining confidence in the US dollar [2]
黄金时间·每日论金：黄金再创历史新高 短期上行动能较为强劲
Xin Hua Cai Jing·2025-09-02 08:47