中钢国际(000928)：2025H业绩小幅增长 下半年有望加速

Core Viewpoint - The company experienced a significant decline in revenue in the first half of the year, but showed improvement in profitability and cash flow management, with expectations for future revenue recovery driven by domestic and international contracts [2][4]. Financial Performance - The company achieved a revenue of 6.745 billion yuan in the first half, a year-on-year decrease of 25.66% [1]. - In Q2, the revenue was 3.226 billion yuan, down 22.67% year-on-year [2]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 424 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 1.11%, while the net profit after deducting non-recurring items was 422 million yuan, up 13.01% [1]. Profitability - The overall gross margin improved to 15.12% in the first half, an increase of 3.66 percentage points year-on-year, with Q2 gross margin at 16.62%, up 4.14 percentage points [2]. - The company effectively controlled its period expenses, with a period expense ratio of 5.95%, an increase of 1.19 percentage points year-on-year [2]. Cash Flow - The net cash outflow from operating activities in the first half was 2.912 billion yuan, an increase in outflow of 1.355 billion yuan year-on-year, with a cash collection ratio of 69.74%, down 13.88 percentage points [3]. - In Q2, the net cash outflow from operating activities was 1.276 billion yuan, with a cash collection ratio of 77.87%, down 57.76 percentage points year-on-year [3]. Contracting Activity - The company secured new contracts worth 6.31 billion yuan in the first half, a year-on-year decline of 35.0%, with domestic new contracts at 2.444 billion yuan, up 53.8%, and international new contracts at 3.864 billion yuan, down 52.4% [3]. - Domestic new contracts showed signs of stabilization, while international contracts faced challenges due to slow project execution [3]. Future Outlook - The company is expected to benefit from potential order increases due to geopolitical developments, particularly if a ceasefire occurs in the Russia-Ukraine conflict [4]. - The company has a healthy balance sheet with 6.86 billion yuan in cash and 1.05 billion yuan in interest-bearing debt, resulting in a net cash position of approximately 5.81 billion yuan [4]. - The company has maintained a high dividend payout ratio over the past three years, with expectations to continue this trend, projecting a dividend yield of about 4.7% for 2025 [4].