Frontier (US:ULCC) ZACKSยท2025-09-02 17:50Core Viewpoint - Frontier Group (ULCC) is experiencing significant financial pressure due to rising costs and operational inefficiencies, making it less appealing for investors [1] Financial Performance - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for the current-quarter loss has widened to 35 cents per share from a previous estimate of 9 cents, indicating a lack of confidence from brokers [2] - The 2025 loss estimate has also increased to 66 cents per share, compared to 40 cents a month ago [2] - ULCC shares have declined by 31.1% year-to-date, while the Transportation - Airline industry has grown by 11.7% [3][8] Earnings and Cost Analysis - ULCC has a mixed earnings surprise history, beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate in two of the last four quarters, with an average miss of 17.54% [5] - The company reported a net loss of $70 million, as expenses outpaced revenue growth despite some efficiency gains [7] - Cost per available seat mile (CASM) rose by 8% year-over-year to 9.73 cents, driven by a 13% decline in average daily aircraft utilization [6][8] - CASM excluding fuel also increased significantly from 6.24 cents to 7.50 cents, indicating broader cost pressures [6] Market Position - ULCC currently holds a Zacks Rank of 4 (Sell), reflecting its unfavorable market position [5] - The company's earnings estimates have plummeted, with a 230% cut in the 2025 forecast over the past 60 days [8] Alternative Investment Options - Investors may consider LATAM Airlines Group (LTM) and SkyWest (SKYW) as alternatives, both holding a Zacks Rank of 1 (Strong Buy) [9][10] - LTM has an expected earnings growth rate of 45% for the current year, while SkyWest has an expected growth rate of 28.06% [10][11]