Group 1: Lithium Battery Industry Overview - China's lithium battery and new energy vehicle industries have significant global competitiveness, with the lithium battery sector's valuation notably below the industry median level of 44.41 times since 2013 [1] - The lithium battery segment is expected to generate revenue of 2.25 trillion yuan in 2024, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 21.80% from 2018 to 2024, despite a substantial decline in net profit projected for 2023-2024 [1] - Key issues in the lithium battery industry include a mismatch between net profit scale and global industry position, overall low profitability, and excess capacity due to continuous release of production capacity in the segmented fields [1] Group 2: New Energy Vehicle Industry Overview - Since 2009, China's automotive production and sales have ranked first globally, with projections indicating over 30 million units produced and sold in 2024, making China the largest automobile exporter [2] - The new energy vehicle sector has maintained a leading position globally, with sales expected to reach 12.859 million units in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 36.10%, accounting for 40.92% of total new energy vehicle sales in China [2] - Despite growth in production and sales, the overall profitability of the automotive industry remains low, with projected profits of 462.3 billion yuan in 2024, significantly lower than the peak profit of 688.3 billion yuan in 2017 [2] Group 3: Policy Measures Against "Involution" Competition - The Chinese government has initiated a series of macro policies to address "involution" competition, with the central political bureau emphasizing the need to prevent such competition for the first time in July 2024 [3] - Various government bodies and industry associations have introduced self-regulatory initiatives and policies aimed at enhancing the global competitiveness of the new energy vehicle and lithium battery industries [3] - The comprehensive measures against involution are expected to further strengthen the global competitiveness of China's new energy vehicle and lithium battery sectors [3]
中原证券:内卷整治有助于提升锂电池行业全球竞争力 维持“强于大市”评级