Shang Hai Zheng Quan Bao·2025-09-03 01:40Core Viewpoint - The Hong Kong stock market is experiencing increased trading activity and stability, supported by significant inflows of southbound capital, which have reached a historical high of over 1 trillion Hong Kong dollars this year [1][3]. Group 1: Southbound Capital Inflows - As of September 2, 2023, the cumulative net inflow of southbound capital has surpassed 1 trillion Hong Kong dollars, reaching 10,002.21 million Hong Kong dollars, marking a record high [1]. - Daily trading volume of southbound capital has increased from approximately 5% at the beginning of the Hong Kong-Shanghai Stock Connect to around 35% currently, enhancing market liquidity and altering investment structures [1]. - Since the launch of the Stock Connect mechanism in November 2014, total southbound capital inflows have reached 4.7 trillion Hong Kong dollars, with a consistent net inflow trend observed since 2015 [3][4]. Group 2: Investment Preferences - The top ten stocks with the largest increase in market value held by southbound capital include Tencent Holdings, Alibaba, and others, with significant increases in market value ranging from 391.4 million to 2,169.2 million Hong Kong dollars [2]. - Southbound capital is primarily focused on globally competitive internet companies, stable cash flow value stocks with generous dividends, and innovative biopharmaceutical companies [2]. - The preference for high-dividend assets has led to significant valuation improvements in sectors such as finance, energy, and telecommunications over the past two years [2]. Group 3: Market Dynamics and Future Outlook - The influx of southbound capital has transformed the Hong Kong stock market into a core market for global investors seeking to allocate "Chinese assets," influencing market styles, sector rotations, and individual stock performances [5]. - The trend of increasing southbound capital inflows is expected to continue, driven by the valuation discrepancies between A-shares and H-shares, with investors favoring lower-priced Hong Kong stocks for similar dividend returns [4][6]. - The shift from retail to institutional dominance in southbound capital has enhanced the professional investment capabilities and value discovery functions within the Hong Kong market [6].