Keshun(SZ:300737) Xin Lang Cai Jing·2025-09-03 04:50Core Viewpoint - The company reported a decline in revenue and net profit for the first half of 2025, attributed to market demand pressure and intensified competition, while also focusing on risk management and business structure adjustments [1][2]. Financial Performance - In H1 2025, the company achieved revenue of 3.22 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 7.23%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 47 million yuan, down 49.98% [1]. - Q2 2025 revenue was 1.825 billion yuan, a decline of 8.1% year-on-year, with a net profit of 6.45 million yuan, down 84.32% [1]. - The revenue breakdown for H1 2025 showed waterproof membranes, coatings, and engineering construction generating 1.646 billion, 873 million, and 557 million yuan respectively, with year-on-year changes of -9.79%, -9.15%, and +2.36% [1]. Profitability and Cost Management - The gross profit margin improved to 24.68%, an increase of 1.23 percentage points, due to ongoing optimization of revenue and product structure, as well as cost reduction efforts [2]. - The gross profit margins for waterproof membranes, coatings, and engineering construction were 22.89%, 38.15%, and 7.67%, with year-on-year changes of +1.87, +4.22, and -6.11 percentage points respectively [2]. - The company reported a credit impairment loss of 138 million yuan in H1 2025, compared to 127 million yuan in the same period last year, due to extended aging of receivables from real estate risk clients [2]. Cash Flow and Dividends - Operating cash flow improved, with a net cash flow from operating activities of -561 million yuan, an improvement from -1.43 billion yuan in the previous year, attributed to better cash collection and optimized supplier payment methods [2]. - The company plans to distribute a cash dividend of 0.5 yuan per share (including tax), with a payout ratio of 118% [2]. Future Outlook and Investment Rating - As a leading player in the waterproofing industry, the company is actively adjusting its channels and customer structure while focusing on cost reduction and risk management, which is expected to enhance operational quality and profitability [3]. - The company has initiated price increases for some channels and products, which may positively impact profitability in the second half of the year [3]. - The company is exploring a second growth curve by establishing an industrial merger and acquisition fund with professional investment institutions, focusing on new materials and technologies [3]. - Profit forecasts for 2025-2027 have been adjusted to 168 million, 273 million, and 326 million yuan respectively, with corresponding PE ratios of 34X, 21X, and 18X [3].