Overview - As of August 31, 2025, 2,244 out of 2,276 companies listed on the Hong Kong main board have disclosed their interim results, achieving a disclosure rate of 98.6% [1] - The proportion of companies with positive revenue growth in 1H25 is 48%, down from 53.5% in the same period last year; approximately 60% of companies reported positive net profit growth, up from about 55% year-on-year [1] - The overall revenue growth of Hong Kong stocks is at a historical low, but profitability has improved [1] Profitability Improvement - The overall gross margin of Hong Kong companies has improved both year-on-year and quarter-on-quarter, with operating profit margins increasing year-on-year but decreasing quarter-on-quarter [2] - The net profit margin for Hong Kong listed companies has improved both year-on-year and quarter-on-quarter, indicating an enhanced competitive landscape and profitability [2] - Return on Equity (ROE) stands at 7.0%, showing year-on-year improvement and stability at historical average levels [2] Industry Structure Divergence - The fastest revenue growth is seen in the information technology, consumer discretionary, and financial sectors, with year-on-year growth rates of 12.3%, 8.5%, and 5.2% respectively [3] - The sectors with the largest revenue declines include real estate (-20.9%), energy (-9%), and utilities (-4.8%) [3] - The healthcare, information technology, and materials sectors have the highest net profit growth rates, at 202.9%, 60.9%, and 52.2% respectively [3] Inventory Cycle - The Hong Kong market is currently undergoing a destocking cycle, with upstream industries continuing to destock while midstream and downstream sectors have entered a replenishment phase [4] - Information technology, consumer discretionary, and healthcare sectors are in a "proactive inventory accumulation" phase, indicating a favorable supply-demand balance [4] - Energy, utilities, and real estate sectors are still in a "proactive destocking" phase, positioned at the bottom of the cycle [4] Capital Expenditure Trends - Most industries have significantly reduced capital expenditures during the economic downturn, with real estate, healthcare, and energy sectors showing the lowest expansion intentions [5] - Only the e-commerce and automotive sectors have seen capital expenditure expansion, but the capital expenditure-to-revenue ratio has not significantly increased, indicating maintenance-level spending [5] - Large companies have shown a notable improvement in operating cash flow year-on-year, leading to stronger capital expenditure intentions, while small and medium-sized enterprises are reducing capital expenditures due to poor cash flow [5] Industry Fundamentals Summary - High-performing sectors include information technology, non-essential consumer goods distribution and retail (primarily e-commerce), and healthcare [6] - Low-performing sectors include energy (primarily oil), real estate, industrial capital goods (mainly cyclical and traditional manufacturing), and consumer services in discretionary spending (mainly dining and tourism) [6] - Overall, new economy sectors with strong growth potential and weak ties to the Chinese macroeconomy have reported better interim results, while traditional economy sectors closely linked to the macroeconomy face performance pressures [6]
招商证券国际:25H1港股公司盈利能力整体改善 新旧经济分化明显