Zheng Quan Zhi Xing·2025-09-03 16:08Core Viewpoint - The independent financial advisors have provided a response to the Shenzhen Stock Exchange regarding the review inquiry letter for Shandong Hongchuang Aluminum Holdings Co., Ltd.'s application for asset acquisition through share issuance, indicating that the company's sustainable operation capability is not expected to undergo significant adverse changes [1][2][3]. Group 1: Market Conditions and Industry Overview - The electrolytic aluminum industry in China has strict capacity control, with no new capacity registrations since 2017, leading to a near supply-demand balance with a production capacity of 44.62 million tons per year as of 2024 [2][4]. - The global alumina production is projected to reach 146 million tons in 2024, with China's alumina production at 85.81 million tons, indicating a stable demand primarily driven by electrolytic aluminum smelting [2][6]. - The demand for electrolytic aluminum in China is expected to grow, with consumption reaching 45.18 million tons in 2024, accounting for 62.2% of global consumption [6][10]. Group 2: Company Position and Competitive Landscape - Shandong Hongchuang Aluminum is a leading enterprise in the electrolytic aluminum sector, with a production capacity of 6.459 million tons, representing 14.48% of the domestic total, and ranks second in the industry [11][12]. - The industry is characterized by high concentration, with the top ten companies accounting for 72% of the total capacity, which helps maintain a stable market structure [11][12]. - The company benefits from significant advantages in technology, cost, and market position, ensuring its competitive edge in the industry [11][12]. Group 3: Capacity Transfer and Future Plans - The company plans to transfer 3.96 million tons of electrolytic aluminum capacity from Shandong to Yunnan, with 1.488 million tons already completed by the end of 2024 [18][20]. - The capacity transfer aligns with national policies promoting sustainable development and is expected to enhance the company's profitability and operational sustainability [19][20]. - The company has established a clear plan for capacity transfer from 2025 to 2027, with specific targets for each year [22]. Group 4: Financial Performance and Asset Management - The company has adequately provided for fixed asset impairment, with a total impairment provision of 3.484 billion yuan as of the end of 2024, primarily due to expected shutdowns related to capacity transfer [22]. - The company maintains a strong liquidity position, with a current ratio between 3.08 and 5.85, indicating robust debt repayment capabilities [21]. - The overall financial health is supported by a significant amount of current assets, ensuring that the company can meet its obligations without major risks [21].